David Spiegelhalter
The Art of Uncertainty : How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk...
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Probably the UKs greatest living statistician TelegraphFrom the UKs statistical national treasure, a clever and datadriven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we dont know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystalclear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses nearterm risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating realworld examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
Binding: Hardback;416 pages; Publisher: TBS-Penguin Random House Wholesale; Classification: GPQD; Weight: 728 g; Dimensions: 223 x 146 x 48
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Probably the UKs greatest living statistician TelegraphFrom the UKs statistical national treasure, a clever and datadriven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we dont know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystalclear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses nearterm risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating realworld examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
Binding: Hardback;416 pages; Publisher: TBS-Penguin Random House Wholesale; Classification: GPQD; Weight: 728 g; Dimensions: 223 x 146 x 48
49p delivery on all orders over £30 (exc. Bulky Item Delivery)
Super Saver Delivery
£0.49
Standard Delivery
£3.99
Express Delivery
£5.99
Next Day Delivery
£6.99
24/7 InPost Locker | Shop Collect
£2.49
Evri ParcelShop
£3.99
Evri ParcelShop | Express Delivery
£5.99
Premium DPD Next Day Delivery
£7.99
Bulky Item Delivery
£4.99
Northern Ireland Super Saver Delivery
£2.99
Northern Ireland Standard Delivery
£4.99
Northern Ireland Express Delivery
£5.99
Unlimited free delivery for a year with Unlimited Delivery for £14.99
Please note, some delivery methods are not available for products delivered by our brand partners & they may have longer delivery times
Something not quite right? You have 28 days from the day you receive it, to send something back.
Please note, we cannot offer refunds on fashion face masks, cosmetics, pierced jewellery, adult toys, and swimwear or lingerie if the hygiene seal is not in place or has been broken.
Items of footwear and/or clothing must be unworn and unwashed with the original labels attached. Also, footwear must be tried on indoors. Items of homeware including bedlinen, mattresses, and toppers, and pillows must be unused and in their original unopened packaging. This does not affect your statutory rights.
Click here to view our full Returns Policy.
David Spiegelhalter
The Art of Uncertainty : How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk...
- Extend your return window to 35 days
- 100% protection against any shipping mishaps
We Think You'll Like
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